Leadership Politics Viewpoint

Mahmood, Streeting, Miliband, Rayner?

PM Keir Starmer – image from Govt flickr feed

The whispering is getting louder over’s Starmer future as PM

Keir Starmer is facing the sharpest questions yet about his leadership. Unite and parts of the wider Labour movement are signalling that winning back their full support may, in the end, require a change at the top. Meanwhile, Labour‑aligned groups are beginning quietly to test members’ views on alternative leadership options.

This is no longer just background noise; it is shaping how ambitious figures position themselves and how every misstep is framed in the media.

Credit: Government Flickr feed

Wes Streeting

Wes Streeting is being cast as one of the most “advanced” would‑be successors, with allies accused of sounding out colleagues and floating ideas for a joint ticket with Angela Rayner to bridge the gap between Blairites and Labour’s traditional base. Publicly he stays fixed on the NHS and pay disputes, but the briefing war around him now feels as much about succession as about health reform.

Angela Rayner, meanwhile, has been forced to deny any “pact” with Streeting and insists she “won’t be played like a pawn”, even as intermediaries probe the appetite for some kind of unity deal. Those close to her suggest that if she moves, it will be on her own terms, not as anyone’s running mate, and only if she believes a challenger would drag Labour in a direction she can accept.

Ed Miliband arrives at the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero – UK Govt image

Ed Miliband

Ed Miliband appears less as a formal contender and more as a soft‑left anchor point: outwardly loyal, but repeatedly linked in Westminster chatter to some of the more damaging briefings on energy and economic strategy, which he rejects. For a slice of the PLP, he represents an alternative centre of gravity if a straightforward Blairite succession looks too risky or too right‑wing.

Tony Blair – image from Wikipedia

The long shadow of Blair

Sitting above all this is Tony Blair’s reported impatience, with suggestions that he has effectively “given up” on influencing Starmer directly and is instead using his institute to shape a more overtly Blairite blueprint for government. Around Westminster, that is widely read as a green light for modernisers to organise more aggressively and to look, quietly but purposefully, beyond the current prime minister.

Shabana Mahmood or Angela Rayner

Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood and Attorney General Richard Hermer arrive for Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s weekly Cabinet in 10 Downing Street. Picture by Lauren Hurley / No 10 Downing Street / UK Govt flickr feed
Angela Rayner – the former Deputy Prime Minister Credit: parliament.uk

Among backbench Labour MPs, the mood is becoming increasingly brittle: concern about sliding poll ratings and the loss of a clear reform narrative is now mixing with open speculation about what happens after the next set of elections. Some talk up Streeting and Shabana Mahmood as the most “ready” alternatives.

Others think only Angela Rayner has the party‑wide legitimacy to block a Blairite coronation, and a smaller group still hopes Starmer can reassert his authority before the circling wagons become an outright leadership challenge.

Gary Sambrook

Columnist
Gary is the former MP for Birmingham Northfield. He writes about politics and societal issues, drawing on his two decades of political and campaign experience.

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